The following article is part of a series concerning the 2025 Classic Baseball Era Committee ballot, covering long-retired players, managers, executives, and umpires whose candidacies will be voted upon on December 8. First written for FanGraphs in 2019, it has been updated with additional research. For an introduction to the ballot, see here, and for an introduction to JAWS, see here. All WAR figures refer to the Baseball-Reference version unless otherwise indicated.
2025 Classic Baseball Candidate: Steve Garvey
Player | Career WAR | Peak WAR | JAWS |
---|---|---|---|
Steve Garvey | 38.0 | 28.7 | 33.4 |
Avg. HOF 1B | 64.8 | 42.0 | 53.4 |
2,599 | 272 | .294/.329/.446 | 117 |
SOURCE: Baseball-Reference
From his matinee-idol good looks as he filled out his red, white, and Dodger blue uniform to the round-numbered triple-crown stats on the back of his baseball card, Steve Garvey looked like a Hall of Famer in the making for much of his 19-year playing career (1969–87). A remarkably consistent and durable player, he had a clockwork ability to rap out 200 hits, bat .300 with 20 homers, and drive in 100 runs, all while maintaining perfectly-coiffed hair and never missing a game. He holds the NL record for consecutive games played (1,207 from September 3, 1975, to July 29, 1983), a streak that’s still the majors’ fourth-longest after those of Cal Ripken Jr., Lou Gehrig, and Everett Scott. A 10-time All-Star, four-time Gold Glove winner, two-time NLCS MVP, and the 1974 regular season NL MVP, he was the most decorated member of the Dodgers’ legendary Longest-Running Infield. He was an All-Star in each of the eight full seasons (1974–81) he spent playing alongside second baseman Davey Lopes, shortstop Bill Russell, and third baseman Ron Cey, a unit that helped power the team to four pennants and a championship. After moving from Los Angeles to San Diego, Garvey made two more All-Star teams while helping the Padres to their first pennant.
As the most popular player on my favorite childhood team, and the one who seemed to shine most brightly on the biggest stages, Garvey felt larger than life. An Adidas poster of him standing upon what was supposed to be the moon, captioned, “The harder you hit it, the further it goes,” hung on the wall of my younger brother’s bedroom. Yet when I began reading Bill James in the early 1980s, I was struck by the extent to which the new numbers took Garvey down a peg — though to be fair, he’d entered his mid-30s having already begun his decline, postseason heroics aside.
Likewise, when I began writing about the Hall of Fame in early 2002, Garvey’s lack of traction on the ballot in his nine previous tries stood out. After debuting with 41.6% on the 1993 ballot, he topped out at 42.6% two years later, and by the end of his run was down to 21.1%. The offensive boom of the 1990s and 2000s had made his stats appear less impressive, with the growing sabermetric movement underscoring that point of view. But that plunge also owed plenty to the high-profile off-field issues that punctured Garvey’s All-American aura, including a very messy personal life (as Rick Reilly summarized in 1989, “In the space of eight months, he had affairs with three women at once, impregnated two and married a fourth”) and financial woes that forestalled his political ambitions until this year. Earlier this week, running as the Republican candidate for the U.S. Senate seat vacated by the death of California Senator Dianne Feinstein, the 75-year-old Garvey lost decisively to Democratic Representative Adam Schiff, 57.6% to 42.4% at this writing.
After aging off the BBWAA ballot, Garvey is now on his fifth Era Committee appearance in the past decade and a half. He’s never come close to being elected before, and it feels like we’re due for a repeat of that history given the presence of stronger candidates who have come much closer to being enshrined. It’s difficult to see him as more than a bystander on this ballot, albeit one who could play the spoiler by siphoning off a few votes.
Steven Patrick Garvey was born in Tampa, Florida on December 22, 1948 to transplanted Long Islanders Joe and Mildred Garvey. After serving in the Navy during World War II, Joe began driving buses for Greyhound in 1955, and the very next year, he was assigned to drive charter buses for the defending world champions at their Vero Beach spring training base. He arranged for his seven-year-old son to serve as a bat boy for the team, a position young Steve occupied for the next six springs.
Growing up, Garvey idolized first baseman Gil Hodges and dreamed of playing for Los Angeles. Though small for a high school athlete (5-foot-7, 165 pounds; he would grow to 5-foot-10, 192 pounds), he excelled at baseball and football at Tampa’s Chamberlain High School. Bypassing a chance to join the Twins after being drafted in the third round in 1966, he drew a scholarship to Michigan State University.
In 1968, the Dodgers chose Garvey — then a third baseman — in the first round of the secondary phase of the June draft, for previous draftees who hadn’t signed; two rounds later, they added Cey. They had already drafted Lopes and pitcher Geoff Zahn in the secondary phase of that year’s January draft, as well as infielder Bobby Valentine, first baseman Bill Buckner, outfielders Tom Paciorek and Joe Ferguson, and pitcher Doyle Alexander in the primary June draft. All of those players would go on to substantial major league careers save for Valentine (whom injuries derailed) making that the largest draft haul in the history of the sport, with MLB.com’s Jim Callis counting 23 All-Star appearances and 234.8 WAR among them.
Garvey, Buckner, Paciorek, and Valentine began their professional careers playing together in 1968 under future Dodgers manager Tommy Lasorda for the team’s rookie-level affiliate in Ogden, Utah. Garvey tore up the league, homering 20 times and slugging .699 in 62 games, but it was Valentine who won league MVP honors. After hitting .373/.396/.576 for Double-A Albuquerque in 1969, Garvey got a brief cup of coffee with the Dodgers, collecting a single off the Astros’ Denny Lemaster on September 10, his only hit in three plate appearances that month. He played 34 games for the Dodgers in 1970 after spending most of the season at Triple-A Spokane, again under Lasorda and alongside Buckner, Paciorek and Valentine as well as Russell and Lopes. He reached the majors for good the following year, but defensive woes at third base, including 42 errors in 164 games in 1971-72, doomed him to part-time status and led the Dodgers to briefly experiment with him in left field.
Garvey continued to ride the pine through the first two and a half months of the 1973 season, while Cey took over third base; at the time, Buckner was playing first. In the second game of a June 23 doubleheader, manager Walter Alston wrote Garvey in as the first baseman; he went 2-for-4 with a double in a 5-1 win over the Reds, and the Longest Running Infield began its reign, while Buckner — who had suggested the position switch to Alston, recalling the teammates’ time at Albuquerque — settled in left field thereafter. Garvey hit .304/.328/.438 (115 OPS+) that year, his first of seven times batting .300 or better. He started the 1974 season so hot that despite not being listed on the All-Star ballot, he beat out Tony Perez by nearly 20,000 votes as part of a write-in campaign, then won All-Star MVP honors by going 2-for-4 with a game-tying double off Luis Tiant.
Garvey finished the season with 200 hits, the first of six times he would reach that plateau, won his first of four consecutive Gold Gloves, and took home NL MVP honors with a .312/.342/.469 line, 21 homers, 111 RBI, a 130 OPS+, and 4.4 WAR; of those numbers, only his batting average (seventh), slugging percentage (fourth), and RBI total (third) cracked the top 10. The Dodgers won 102 games and their first NL West title, beating out the Reds — as in, the Big Red Machine starring Perez, Johnny Bench, Joe Morgan, and Pete Rose — for the only time in the 1972–76 span. Garvey hit .385/.400/.564 in the postseason, highlighted by a two-homer, four-hit performance in the clinching Game 4 of the NLCS. Despite going 8-for-21 in the World Series, he drove in just one run and scored two as the Dodgers fell to the A’s in five games.
From 1974-80, the ever-dependable Garvey hit .311/.348/.480 while averaging 23 homers and 104 RBI. His triple crown numbers positioned him among the game’s elite; his 730 RBI for the span ranked second (two ribbies behind Mike Schmidt), his batting average sixth, and his 130 homers 12th. By a more modern reckoning, however, his 130 OPS+ was just 24th for the period, and his 28.7 WAR (4.1 per year) 20th. More on that juxtaposition below.
Garvey helped the Dodgers surpass the aging Reds to not only win the NL West in 1977 and ’78, Lasorda’s first two years at the helm, but to win pennants as well, though they fell to the Yankees in the World Series each time. He set a career high with 33 homers in 1977, when he was joined by Cey (30), Dusty Baker, (30), and Reggie Smith (32) as the first quartet of teammates to reach 30 homers in a season. In 1978, Garvey became the first player to win All-Star MVP honors a second time, part of a remarkable track record in the Midsummer Classic; in 10 games, he hit .393/.433/.821 with two doubles, two triples, and a homer in 30 PA.
For as popular as Garvey was becoming, he drew the resentment of his teammates, who felt that he was judgmental of them in his abstinence from smoking and drinking, and hungry for the spotlight so as to generate endorsement opportunities. Things came to a head on August 20, 1978, when Garvey was involved in a highly publicized clubhouse tussle with teammate (and future Hall of Famer) Don Sutton in the wake of the pitcher’s public comments about the first baseman. “All you hear about on our team is Steve Garvey, the All-American boy. Well, the best player on this team for the last two years — and we all know it — is Reggie Smith. As Reggie goes, so goes us,” he told the Washington Post’s Thomas Boswell, referring to the team’s slugging right fielder (legitimately a more potent hitter by about 30 to 40 points of OPS+). “Reggie’s not a facade or a Madison Avenue image,” added Sutton, apparently referring to Garvey.
Garvey waited until after Sutton’s next turn in the rotation, then confronted him in the Shea Stadium visitor’s locker room. The verbal conflict escalated when, annoyed by the way Garvey was jabbing his finger into his chest, Sutton made a remark about the first baseman’s wife, Cyndy. The two players scuffled, with Garvey suffering facial scratches and Sutton a bruised cheek. Sutton apologized publicly, but Garvey refused to accept, saying he never apologized personally.
The fight — termed “The Grapple in the Apple” — happened just as the Dodgers had moved into first place in the NL West. It did not derail them. Garvey went on to win NLCS MVP honors by hitting four homers and driving in seven runs in four games against the Phillies, but the Yankees limited him to just five hits, including a double, and zero RBI in the six-game World Series.
Garvey’s performance began to slip after 1978; though he hit .300 two more times, his OPS+ declined, and he never topped 3.0 WAR again. He hit a modest .283/.322/.411 (110 OPS+) with 10 homers in the strike-shortened 1981 season, though he again sparkled in October (.359/.379/.547, including a team-high 10 hits in the World Series but without a single RBI, again) while helping the Dodgers beat the Yankees to claim their first championship in 16 years. The Longest Running Infield broke up after that triumph when Lopes was traded to the A’s; Garvey himself would spend just one more year in Los Angeles, slipping to a 101 OPS+ and 1.9 WAR in 1982 before reaching free agency.
Despite his decline, it rated as a shock when the Padres outbid the Dodgers’ four-year, $6 million offer by offering the 34-year-old Garvey five years and $6.6 million. He donned the brown and yellow uniform, joked that he “looked like a taco,” and rebounded to his strongest offensive performance since 1980 (.294/.344/.459, 124 OPS+), though his season and his consecutive game streak ended in late July due to a broken left thumb. In his Baseball Abstract 1984, James, who ranked Garvey 14th out of 26 first basemen, wrote of him, “[D]oesn’t have Grade A power, grounds into a lot of double plays, never walks, hasn’t hit .300 for three years… he might do things that will help you sell tickets. Personally, I prefer players who do things that will help you win ballgames.”
Until 1984, the Padres had been afterthoughts in the NL West race. In their first 15 years of existence (starting in 1969), they had finished above .500 just once, going 84-78 (.519) in 1978, though they eked out 81-81 records in both ’82 and ’83. With Garvey and former Yankees nemeses Rich Gossage and Graig Nettles playing the sage veterans to youngsters like Tony Gwynn and Kevin McReynolds, things came together for the Padres in 1984, as they won 92 games and their first NL West title.
While Garvey made the All-Star team that year thanks in part to the popular perception of his work, which included a .284 batting average and 86 RBI, he slipped to just a 91 OPS+ via a .307 OBP and .373 SLG, with eight homers and a puny 0.4 WAR. He came to life in the postseason, however, again winning NLCS MVP honors by hitting .400/.429/.600 against the Cubs, highlighted by a four-hit, five-RBI Game 4 that was capped by a walk-off two-run homer against Lee Smith.
The Padres won the NLCS in five games, sending to them to their first World Series, but the Tigers cooled them off. Garvey was held to a .200/.200/.300 line in 21 PA during their five-game defeat.
Garvey rebounded somewhat (109 OPS+, 1.6 WAR) in 1985 as he made his final All-Star team, but he faded the following year. A torn left biceps tendon sapped his power and limited him to just 27 games in 1987, his last year under contract. After undergoing surgery, he decided to retire at the age of 39.
Garvey spent his career doing the things that tend to impress Hall of Fame voters; he made 10 All-Star teams, won four Gold Gloves and an MVP award, drove in 100 or more runs five times, hit 20 or more homers six times (but topped 30 only once) and played a prominent role on five pennant winners, batting .338/.361/.550 with 11 homers and 31 RBI in the postseason. As a result of all that, he scores 131 on James’ Hall of Fame Monitor, which measures how likely (but not how deserving) a player is to be elected by awarding points for various honors, league leads, postseason performance and so on — the things that tend to catch voters’ eyes — marking him as “a virtual cinch.”
Garvey fares far less well via the advanced stats. Among players who accumulated at least 7,000 plate appearance and spent at least half their careers at first base, his 117 OPS+ is tied for 52nd with Wally Joyner, Jake Daubert, and Ron Fairly, none of whom have been mistaken for a Hall of Famer. He ranked among his league’s top 10 in WAR just twice, topped 5.0 WAR just once (5.1 in 1975), and 4.0 WAR just three additional times. For as impressive as his batting averages were, his 5.1% walk rate limited his on-base percentages; his .329 career mark is just one point above the park-adjusted league average for his time.
Garvey ranks just 53rd in WAR and 51st in JAWS among first basemen, well below where his more underrated teammates Cey, Lopes and Smith sit at their respective positions. From among the 25 non-Negro Leagues enshrinees at first base, his JAWS outranks just two dreadful Veterans Committee selections, Jim Bottomley (35.8/29.6/32.7, 57th) and High Pockets Kelly (25.4/24.1/24.8, 97th). Note that the Hall standard has dipped a bit since his last appearance, on the 2020 Modern Baseball Era Committee ballot, via the elections of a mixed bag of first basemen including Hodges:
Recently Enshrined First Basemen
Player | Elected | Career WAR | Peak WAR | JAWS | JAWS rk |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Todd Helton | 2024 BBWAA | 61.8 | 46.6 | 54.2 | 15 |
David Ortiz | 2022 BBWAA | 55.3 | 35.2 | 45.3 | 30* |
Fred McGriff | 2023 Contemporary | 52.6 | 36.0 | 44.3 | 33 |
Gil Hodges | 2022 Golden Days | 43.8 | 33.6 | 38.7 | 41 |
Steve Garvey | — | 38.0 | 28.7 | 33.4 | 51 |
Avg HOF 1B | c. 2020 ballot | 66.8 | 42.7 | 54.8 | |
Avg HOF 1B | c. 2025 ballot | 64.8 | 42.0 | 53.4 |
* = Ortiz spent 87% of his career as a designated hitter, but for JAWS purposes he is classified at first base, the defensive position where he had the most value.
Garvey additionally has the lowest JAWS of the six non-Negro Leagues players on the Classic Baseball ballot, and the largest gap between his JAWS and the position standard — a full 20 points. His postseason performances are worth something… but not enough to significantly close the gap.
When he first became eligible on the 1993 BBWAA ballot, Garvey pulled a solid 41.6%. While that may not seem particularly impressive, it’s the highest share of the vote by any post-1966 first year candidate who has completed his run on the writers’ ballot and has yet to get elected, either by the writers or a small committee. He inherited that mantle from Lee Smith, who received 42.3% in his 2003 ballot debut but wasn’t elected until 2019. Carlos Beltrán pulled ahead of Garvey in 2023, when he received 46.5%; while he has yet to get elected, he shot to 57.1% in his second year of eligibility, and still has another eight via the writers — suggesting this distinction may revert to Garvey soon enough.
Garvey simply couldn’t marshal much in the way of further support from the writers, topping 40% just two other times, with a high of 42.6% in 1995. The popularization of advanced stats and their gradual absorption into Hall of Fame debates didn’t help his cause; instead, they dulled the superficial sheen of his traditional numbers.
So have the off-field issues that ran counter to his squeaky clean image, including a highly publicized split with wife Cyndy in 1981, multiple affairs and children out of wedlock, including a paternity suit in 1989 (yielding eternal zingers like “Steve Garvey is not my Padre,” soon popularized on bumper stickers), and chronic financial woes that thwarted his post-career political ambitions and turned him into a punch line. Even though some of this — including his marital troubles, and widespread resentment among his Dodgers teammates, culminating in the scrap with Sutton – surfaced during his career, his fall from grace after he hung up his spikes was sad and stunning. It’s not all behind him either; in February, when his decision to run for the Senate came to light, three of his children — one from his marriage to Cyndy, two from subsequent affairs — told reporters that he had cut off all contact with them, with one saying that amid his financial setbacks, he had “unilaterally” cut his child support payments in half.
None of that somewhat sordid litany is particularly disqualifying with regards to the Hall of Fame, which already contains bigger scoundrels. For as much as this stuff has served as a reminder of the contrast between the surface veneer of Garvey’s career and the reality — both with regards to his public image and his statistics — his very public struggles, which also include his being fired from a marketing and community relations job with the Dodgers by owner Frank McCourt after he explored buying the team from the bankrupt (in every sense of the word) owner and a 2013 battle with prostate cancer, have humanized a player who was sometimes considered robotic.
In 2019, Garvey was honored as part of the inaugural Legends of Dodger Baseball class along with Don Newcombe and Fernando Valenzuela. That’s probably as high as it goes for him, as by now it’s hardly a surprise that he has yet to be elected to the Hall. He’s landed on ballots each time he’s been eligible during the Era Committee cycles, namely the 2011 and ’14 Expansion Era ballots as well as the ’18 and ’20 Modern Baseball ones, and this one. Until 2020, when he received 37.5% of the vote, he had never broken out of the “received fewer than” group, the candidates whose actual levels of support are obscured when the totals are announced so as to avoid embarrassing anyone (some of those cutoffs have actually been higher than his 2020 share). Arguably, his spot on the ballot could be put to better use for a more overlooked candidate, whether it’s another contemporary who outperformed him on the basis of advanced stats (Bobby Grich, eighth in JAWS at second base) or someone of much greater historical importance (Curt Flood). From baseball’s All-American to ballot ballast, it’s been quite a journey, but perhaps we finally have the player and the man in the proper perspective.